[灌水]Recognizing Our Inherent Biases
Hi all,
We are offered one of the following possibilities:
A. To receive RMB 100 for sure.
B. To toss a coin. If it is heads we get RMB 200 and if it is tails, we get nothing!
What about a potential loss?
We are offered one of the following possibilities:
A. To receive RMB 1 Million for sure.
B. To toss a coin. If it is heads we get RMB 2 millions and if it is tails, we get nothing!
What about a potential loss?
Next,we are offered the following two possibilities:
A. We are guaranteed to lose RMB 100 .
B. To toss a coin. If it is heads we have to pay RMB 200 and if it is tails, we do not have to pay anything.
What about a potential loss?
We are offered the following two possibilities:
A. We are guaranteed to lose RMB 1 million.
B. To toss a coin. If it is heads we have to pay RMB 2 millions and if it is tails, we do not have to pay anything.
What about a potential loss?
Is a six sigma initiative risky?
We only take risk to avoid pain, we seldom take risk to maximize a gain!
Recognizing our inherent biases
We are offered one of the following possibilities:
A. To receive RMB 100 for sure.
B. To toss a coin. If it is heads we get RMB 200 and if it is tails, we get nothing!
What about a potential loss?
We are offered one of the following possibilities:
A. To receive RMB 1 Million for sure.
B. To toss a coin. If it is heads we get RMB 2 millions and if it is tails, we get nothing!
What about a potential loss?
Next,we are offered the following two possibilities:
A. We are guaranteed to lose RMB 100 .
B. To toss a coin. If it is heads we have to pay RMB 200 and if it is tails, we do not have to pay anything.
What about a potential loss?
We are offered the following two possibilities:
A. We are guaranteed to lose RMB 1 million.
B. To toss a coin. If it is heads we have to pay RMB 2 millions and if it is tails, we do not have to pay anything.
What about a potential loss?
Is a six sigma initiative risky?
We only take risk to avoid pain, we seldom take risk to maximize a gain!
Recognizing our inherent biases
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